Archive for Let the Good Times Roll
Maybe Them Shoots Look Green On MSNBC: Keyser Just Ain’t Seein’ It Edition
Posted by: | CommentsSo, here’s a report on delinquency rates in mortgages from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and the Office of Thrift Supervision (who knew there was such a thing?), as reported on Calculated Risk:
The mortgage data reported for the second quarter of 2009 continued to reflect negative trends influenced by weakness in economic conditions including high unemployment and declining home prices in weak housing markets. As a result, the number of seriously delinquent mortgages and foreclosures in process continued to increase. However, a lull in newly initiated foreclosures occurred as servicers worked to implement the “Making Home Affordable” program during the second quarter.
The graph up there (click for bigger image) shows that the shit just keeps on getting shittier. Think only the subprime mortgages are the problem? No, the primes are even worse. And are the numbers going down? Yes. But only because some stupid program is encouraging the banks not to foreclose.
And the stock market is up 50% since the low point last winter, while all this is going on? Why? Because Bennie and Timmy have bought up shit securities from the banks, and the freed up liquidity isn’t being used for productive lending but is going into stock speculation. Are the banks any better? No. Is there any real sign of turn around? No, not that Keyser can see.
As the guy says at the end of Bridge over the River Kwai: Madness.
Keyser’s Delinquency Has an Excuse
Posted by: | CommentsHi, all! Today marks another step in filling out the fifth decade of Keyser’s life. Long-suffering readers may recall that last year, Keyser and Mrs. S. had a (kind of) close encounter with death, who seems to have had other things on his mind. Today, Keyser got a cool macro lens (though for reasons known best to themselves Nikon perversely calls it a “micro” lens), and Mrs. S. and Keyser went off with the smallest Keyserling to a nearby national park. Saw not much in the way of wildlife (the buffalo were apparently hiding, but eventually Keyser will regale you with all sorts of cool small stuff. Also, the sun god wasn’t too merciless, but Mrs. S. is pretty wiped out nonetheless.
So the lack of posting isn’t the result of indolence. All Keyser’s got to say is that life is good, and everyone should go enjoy it!
The Economy on the Ground: Las Vegas Edition
Posted by: | CommentsA few days ago, Keyser saw a television show in which someone claimed to be a millionaire, and he said he was into real estate development. He mentioned in particular his involvement in Manhattan West. Turns out this was a big development in Las Vegas, but even though it’s 80% complete, its outlook is now said to be “grim.”
Things look rather different just a few years ago. Here’s a blurb from some realtor that Keyser came across from July 25 2006:
Las Vegas is heading skywards. With the cost of land and the dwindling supply, when you take away the BLM land there is no where to go but UP. In five years you will not be able to recognize the skyline of Las Vegas. There is every imaginable project going, condos, lofts, towers, and an Urban village which will be like brownstones. The Strip is not the only place that is seeing the towers, the Harmon Corridor is becoming the hippest place just off srtip as seen by the article below from the local paper.
Seems there actually was someplace to go but UP, which was PRECIPITOUSLY DOWN. Far as Keyser can figure, the big boom in LV was a spin-off from the housing bubble in neighboring California, with lots of people investing their home equity in LV and/or spending time and money gambling and doing other foolish things there. Once the housing market in California tanked, the secondary bubble in Nevada lost all its oxygen and if anything tanked much worse than elsewhere, since it’s fundamentally based on frivolousness that people can cut out of their lives without much trouble.
Except, of course, for the people actually stuck in a town suffering from a very sudden and severe downturn. Here’s a video about the effects of this local collapse on real people. The overall picture is in fact pretty grim, and some it’s pretty sad.
Truly a Field of (Bad) Dreams Come to a Bad End.





